Llama Golf White Llama · v0.1.0

Paper portfolio #11 · PGA Championship · saved May 14, 2026 · 4:50 PM · sim 3 · "dg"
$2,911.67
Total stake
+$339.37
Expected profit
+11.66%
Expected ROI
$-635.11
Realized P&L
CLV captured · 19/19 priced · matchup_72h: +0.844% (n=19) Matchup CLV is the trustworthy signal — those markets lock at R1 start. Outright CLV captured post-R1 is contaminated (markets reprice on actual play). Run "Refresh CLV from archive" after the tournament for the authoritative number.
Bankroll $10,000 · min EV 5.00% · Kelly mult 0.25 · snapshotted post-close · settled May 18, 2026 · 2:15 PM
Market Book Player vs Opponent Odds (impl) Model% Pinnacle% EV Stake Live % Live EV Close CLV Status P&L Placed Search
M:72h fanduel Fitzpatrick, Alex Fitzpatrick, Matt 3.25 30.8% 44.2% 43.6% $200.00 $-200.00 3.00 +8.33% lost $-200.00
M:72h betonline McIlroy, Rory Scheffler, Scottie 2.57 38.9% 47.2% 21.3% $200.00 +$314.00 2.57 +0.00% won +$314.00
M:72h betcris Fitzpatrick, Matt Rahm, Jon 2.43 41.2% 47.9% 16.3% $200.00 $-200.00 2.39 +1.67% lost $-200.00
M:72h betcris Smylie, Elvis Schmid, Matti 2.37 42.2% 47.4% 12.2% $200.00 $-200.00 2.34 +1.28% lost $-200.00
M:72h betcris Wiesberger, Bernd Novak, Andrew 2.35 42.6% 47.7% 12.1% $200.00 $-200.00 2.35 +0.00% lost $-200.00
M:72h fanduel Hojgaard, Rasmus Hojgaard, Nicolai 2.38 42.1% 45.6% 8.4% $152.83 $-152.83 2.62 -9.52% lost $-152.83
M:72h betonline Rose, Justin Thomas, Justin 2.17 46.1% 49.8% 8.0% $170.49 $-170.49 2.00 +8.50% lost $-170.49
M:72h betcris Cink, Stewart Castillo, Ricky 2.19 45.7% 49.2% 7.8% $164.47 +$195.72 2.12 +3.30% won +$195.72
M:72h betonline Fitzpatrick, Matt Schauffele, Xander 2.22 45.0% 48.5% 7.7% $158.67 $-158.67 2.20 +0.91% lost $-158.67
M:72h betonline Hojgaard, Rasmus Detry, Thomas 2.25 44.4% 47.4% 6.6% $131.04 +$163.80 2.25 +0.00% won +$163.80
M:72h betcris Penge, Marco Clark, Wyndham 2.21 45.2% 48.2% 6.5% $134.90 $-134.90 2.25 -1.78% lost $-134.90
M:72h betonline Smith, Cameron Johnson, Dustin 2.17 46.1% 49.0% 6.3% $134.88 +$157.81 2.17 +0.00% won +$157.81
M:72h betonline Matsuyama, Hideki Spaun, J.J. 2.16 46.3% 49.2% 6.3% $135.63 +$157.33 2.13 +1.41% won +$157.33
M:72h betcris Homa, Max Taylor, Nick 2.22 45.0% 47.9% 6.2% $127.66 $-127.66 2.24 -0.89% lost $-127.66
M:72h betonline Hillier, Daniel Wallace, Matt 2.15 46.5% 49.4% 6.2% $134.21 +$154.34 2.12 +1.42% won +$154.34
M:72h betonline Schauffele, Xander Rahm, Jon 2.15 46.5% 49.3% 45.8% 6.1% $131.54 $-131.54 2.15 +0.00% lost $-131.54
M:72h betonline Bhatia, Akshay Fowler, Rickie 2.22 45.0% 47.7% 5.9% $120.39 $-120.39 2.22 +0.00% lost $-120.39
M:72h betonline Rai, Aaron Hall, Harry 2.20 45.5% 47.8% 5.1% $106.06 +$127.27 2.20 +0.00% won +$127.27
M:72h betonline Young, Cameron McIlroy, Rory 2.15 46.5% 48.8% 5.0% $108.90 $-108.90 2.12 +1.42% lost $-108.90