Llama Golf White Llama · v0.1.0

White Llama is a probabilistic model that picks golf bets.

It rates every player on the PGA Tour, prices every matchup and outright the field offers, and surfaces the ones where the book's wrong. Calibrated, backtested across 4,906 historical bets at +1.75% closing-line value.

Every Wednesday I post the week's picks before the books move. Every Sunday I post the results. You can grade the work.

Last week — Charles Schwab Challenge

The model's biggest winning matchup was Gary Woodland over Harry Hall at +135. We priced him at 50%; the market had him at 43%. Bet closed at +$200 on a $148 stake.

Recent results

Event Llama DataGolf Δ
Charles Schwab Challenge Jun 1 $-224 +$394 $-619
THE CJ CUP Byron Nelson May 25 +$413 +$358 +$55
PGA Championship May 18 $-1,243 $-635 $-608
Truist Championship May 11 +$709 +$245 +$464
Cadillac Championship May 3 +$869 +$1,273 $-404
5 events +$523 +$1,636 $-1,113