Llama Golf White Llama · v0.1.0

White Llama is a probabilistic model that picks golf bets.

It rates every player on the PGA Tour, prices every matchup and outright the field offers, and surfaces the ones where the book's wrong. Calibrated, backtested across 4,906 historical bets at +1.75% closing-line value.

Every Wednesday I post the week's picks before the books move. Every Sunday I post the results. You can grade the work.

Last week — Travelers Championship

The model's biggest winning matchup was Akshay Bhatia over Aaron Rai at +170. We priced him at 50%; the market had him at 37%. Bet closed at +$203 on a $119 stake.

Recent results

Event Llama DataGolf Δ
Travelers Championship Jul 11 +$43 +$361 $-317
U.S. Open Jul 11 $-182 +$501 $-683
RBC Canadian Open Jun 15 $-333 $-709 +$377
the Memorial Tournament presented by Workday Jun 9 +$61 +$239 $-178
Charles Schwab Challenge Jun 1 $-224 +$394 $-619
5 events $-635 +$785 $-1,420