Llama Golf White Llama · v0.1.0

Paper portfolio #10 · PGA Championship · saved May 14, 2026 · 4:50 PM · sim 3 · "llama"
$4,672.10
Total stake
+$568.36
Expected profit
+12.16%
Expected ROI
$-1,243.13
Realized P&L
CLV captured · 28/28 priced · matchup_72h: +1.100% (n=26) · outrights: -1.845% (n=2) Matchup CLV is the trustworthy signal — those markets lock at R1 start. Outright CLV captured post-R1 is contaminated (markets reprice on actual play). Run "Refresh CLV from archive" after the tournament for the authoritative number.
Bankroll $10,000 · min EV 5.00% · Kelly mult 0.25 · snapshotted post-close · settled May 18, 2026 · 2:15 PM
Market Book Player vs Opponent Odds (impl) Model% Pinnacle% EV Stake Live % Live EV Close CLV Status P&L Placed Search
M:72h fanduel Fitzpatrick, Alex Fitzpatrick, Matt 3.25 30.8% 41.7% 35.4% $200.00 $-200.00 3.00 +8.33% lost $-200.00
M:72h betonline McIlroy, Rory Scheffler, Scottie 2.57 38.9% 47.7% 22.6% $200.00 +$314.00 2.57 +0.00% won +$314.00
M:72h betcris Smylie, Elvis Schmid, Matti 2.37 42.2% 51.2% 21.4% $200.00 $-200.00 2.34 +1.28% lost $-200.00
M:72h betcris Wiesberger, Bernd Novak, Andrew 2.35 42.6% 49.8% 17.0% $200.00 $-200.00 2.35 +0.00% lost $-200.00
O:win draftkings Yellamaraju, Sudarshan 261.00 0.4% 0.4% 0.4% 15.6% $1.50 $-1.50 271.00 -3.69% lost $-1.50
M:72h bet365 Rahm, Jon Young, Cameron 2.05 48.8% 56.1% 15.1% $200.00 +$210.00 2.05 +0.00% won +$210.00
M:72h caesars Puig, David Detry, Thomas 2.05 48.8% 55.6% 48.9% 13.9% $200.00 +$210.00 1.95 +5.00% won +$210.00
M:72h betonline Hojgaard, Rasmus Detry, Thomas 2.25 44.4% 50.5% 13.6% $200.00 +$250.00 2.25 +0.00% won +$250.00
M:72h betonline Matsuyama, Hideki Spaun, J.J. 2.16 46.3% 51.8% 11.9% $200.00 +$232.00 2.13 +1.41% won +$232.00
M:72h betonline Rose, Justin Thomas, Justin 2.17 46.1% 51.4% 11.6% $200.00 $-200.00 2.00 +8.50% lost $-200.00
M:72h betonline Reed, Patrick Spieth, Jordan 2.10 47.6% 53.1% 46.8% 11.5% $200.00 +$220.00 2.05 +2.44% won +$220.00
M:72h betcris Schaper, Jayden Ayora, Angel 2.01 49.8% 55.4% 11.3% $200.00 $-200.00 2.15 -6.51% lost $-200.00
M:72h betcris Hatton, Tyrrell Morikawa, Collin 2.15 46.5% 51.5% 10.7% $200.00 $-200.00 1.99 +8.03% lost $-200.00
M:72h betcris Homa, Max Taylor, Nick 2.22 45.0% 49.7% 10.3% $200.00 $-200.00 2.24 -0.89% lost $-200.00
M:72h betonline Bhatia, Akshay Fowler, Rickie 2.22 45.0% 49.4% 9.7% $198.93 $-198.93 2.22 +0.00% lost $-198.93
M:72h betonline Smith, Cameron Johnson, Dustin 2.17 46.1% 50.1% 8.7% $186.40 +$218.09 2.17 +0.00% won +$218.09
M:72h fanduel Hojgaard, Rasmus Hojgaard, Nicolai 2.38 42.1% 45.7% 8.6% $157.01 $-157.01 2.62 -9.52% lost $-157.01
M:72h fanduel Hatton, Tyrrell Thomas, Justin 2.00 50.0% 54.2% 8.4% $200.00 $-200.00 1.90 +5.26% lost $-200.00
M:72h betonline Day, Jason Bradley, Keegan 2.15 46.5% 50.4% 8.3% $180.69 +$207.79 2.06 +4.37% won +$207.79
M:72h betonline Fitzpatrick, Matt Schauffele, Xander 2.22 45.0% 48.5% 7.6% $156.11 $-156.11 2.20 +0.91% lost $-156.11
M:72h betcris Fitzpatrick, Matt Rahm, Jon 2.43 41.2% 44.3% 7.6% $132.81 $-132.81 2.39 +1.67% lost $-132.81
M:72h bet365 Bhatia, Akshay Lowry, Shane 2.10 47.6% 51.0% 7.2% $162.79 $-162.79 2.10 +0.00% lost $-162.79
O:win betmgm Rahm, Jon 17.00 5.9% 6.3% 5.3% 7.0% $10.93 $-10.93 17.00 +0.00% lost $-10.93
M:72h betonline DeChambeau, Bryson Aberg, Ludvig 2.05 48.8% 51.8% 6.3% $149.29 $-149.29 2.09 -1.91% lost $-149.29
M:72h betonline Griffin, Ben Kitayama, Kurt 2.10 47.6% 50.6% 6.2% $141.03 $-141.03 2.10 +0.00% lost $-141.03
M:72h caesars DeChambeau, Bryson Schauffele, Xander 2.15 46.5% 49.2% 5.9% $127.26 $-127.26 2.20 -2.27% lost $-127.26
M:72h bet365 MacIntyre, Robert Lee, Min Woo 2.05 48.8% 51.6% 5.8% $137.67 $-137.67 2.00 +2.50% lost $-137.67
M:72h betonline Yellamaraju, Sudarshan Coody, Pierceson 1.97 50.7% 53.3% 5.0% $129.68 $-129.68 1.97 +0.00% lost $-129.68