$2,367.19
Total stake
+$246.05
Expected profit
+10.39%
Expected ROI
+$977.03
Realized P&L
CLV captured · 27/28 priced ·
matchup_72h:
+3.370%
(n=16)
· outrights:
+11.825%
(n=11)
Matchup CLV is the trustworthy signal — those markets lock at R1 start.
Outright CLV captured post-R1 is contaminated (markets reprice on actual play).
Run "Refresh CLV from archive" after the tournament for the authoritative number.
Bankroll $10,000 · min EV 3.00% · Kelly mult 0.25
· snapshotted 29h before close
· settled 2026-05-03 23:03
| Market | Book | Player | vs Opponent | Odds (impl) | Model% | Pinnacle% | EV | Stake | Live % | Live EV | Close | CLV | Status | P&L | Placed | Search |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M:72h | betonline | Campbell, Brian | Hoge, Tom | 2.85 35.1% | 45.7% | — | 30.4% | $200.00 | — | +$370.00 | 2.90 | -1.72% | won | +$370.00 | … | |
| O:win | betcris | Castillo, Ricky | 151.81 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 24.8% | $4.11 | — | $-4.11 | 153.94 | -1.38% | lost | $-4.11 | … | ||
| O:win | draftkings | Woodland, Gary | 77.00 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 22.7% | $7.45 | — | $-7.45 | 63.00 | +22.22% | lost | $-7.45 | … | ||
| O:win | betonline | Hojgaard, Nicolai | 46.00 2.2% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 20.3% | $11.27 | — | $-11.27 | 41.00 | +12.20% | lost | $-11.27 | … | ||
| O:win | bet365 | Lipsky, David | 501.00 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 19.2% | $0.96 | — | $-0.96 | 401.00 | +24.94% | lost | $-0.96 | … | ||
| M:72h | betonline | Glover, Lucas | Blanchet, Chandler | 2.33 42.9% | 50.9% | — | 18.5% | $200.00 | — | +$266.00 | 2.35 | -0.85% | won | +$266.00 | … | |
| O:win | betonline | McCarty, Matt | 136.00 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 15.9% | $2.94 | — | $-2.94 | 111.00 | +22.52% | lost | $-2.94 | … | ||
| O:win | betonline | Smalley, Alex | 101.00 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 12.9% | $3.23 | — | $-3.23 | 101.00 | +0.00% | lost | $-3.23 | … | ||
| O:win | betcris | Mitchell, Keith | 81.66 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 12.7% | $3.93 | — | $-3.93 | 81.74 | -0.10% | lost | $-3.93 | … | ||
| M:72h | betonline | Bhatia, Akshay | Lee, Min Woo | 2.33 42.9% | 48.1% | — | 12.0% | $200.00 | — | $-200.00 | 2.25 | +3.56% | lost | $-200.00 | … | |
| M:72h | betonline | Putnam, Andrew | Homa, Max | 2.20 45.5% | 50.2% | — | 10.3% | $200.00 | — | +$240.00 | 2.06 | +6.80% | won | +$240.00 | … | |
| M:72h | caesars | Woodland, Gary | Kitayama, Kurt | 2.20 45.5% | 50.1% | — | 10.3% | $200.00 | — | $-200.00 | 2.20 | +0.00% | lost | $-200.00 | … | |
| O:win | betonline | Fleetwood, Tommy | 34.00 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 10.2% | $7.70 | — | $-7.70 | 33.00 | +3.03% | lost | $-7.70 | … | ||
| O:win | betonline | Dahmen, Joel | 501.00 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 9.7% | $0.49 | — | $-0.49 | 501.00 | +0.00% | lost | $-0.49 | … | ||
| M:72h | betonline | Poston, J.T. | Novak, Andrew | 2.20 45.5% | 49.5% | 44.4% | 8.9% | $185.25 | — | +$222.30 | 2.08 | +5.77% | won | +$222.30 | … | |
| M:72h | caesars | Burns, Sam | Henley, Russell | 2.25 44.4% | 48.4% | 46.6% | 8.9% | $177.62 | — | +$222.02 | 1.80 | +25.00% | won | +$222.02 | … | |
| O:win | betonline | Pendrith, Taylor | 166.00 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 6.7% | $1.02 | — | $-1.02 | 136.00 | +22.06% | lost | $-1.02 | … | ||
| M:72h | betonline | Fox, Ryan | McCarty, Matt | 2.17 46.1% | 49.1% | 46.3% | 6.6% | $140.22 | — | $-140.22 | 2.08 | +4.33% | lost | $-140.22 | … | |
| M:72h | caesars | Hall, Harry | Stevens, Sam | 2.10 47.6% | 50.1% | — | 5.3% | $119.49 | — | $-119.49 | 2.10 | +0.00% | lost | $-119.49 | … | |
| M:72h | betonline | Taylor, Nick | Castillo, Ricky | 2.21 45.2% | 47.5% | — | 5.0% | $103.19 | — | +$124.86 | 1.98 | +11.59% | won | +$124.86 | … | |
| O:win | betonline | Spaun, J.J. | 76.00 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 4.7% | $1.58 | — | $-1.58 | 61.00 | +24.59% | lost | $-1.58 | … | ||
| M:72h | caesars | Knapp, Jake | Lee, Min Woo | 2.05 48.8% | 51.0% | — | 4.6% | $108.72 | — | $-108.72 | — | — | lost | $-108.72 | … | |
| M:72h | caesars | Fox, Ryan | Smith, Jordan | 2.20 45.5% | 47.4% | — | 4.4% | $90.91 | — | +$109.09 | 2.20 | +0.00% | won | +$109.09 | … | |
| M:72h | bet365 | Knapp, Jake | Burns, Sam | 2.00 50.0% | 51.9% | 53.2% | 3.8% | $96.10 | — | $-96.10 | 2.05 | -2.44% | lost | $-96.10 | … | |
| M:72h | bet365 | Griffin, Ben | Bridgeman, Jacob | 2.10 47.6% | 49.3% | — | 3.6% | $81.17 | — | +$89.29 | 2.10 | +0.00% | won | +$89.29 | … | |
| M:72h | betonline | Fleetwood, Tommy | Morikawa, Collin | 2.06 48.5% | 50.2% | 47.2% | 3.3% | $78.78 | — | +$83.51 | 2.06 | +0.00% | won | +$83.51 | … | |
| M:72h | caesars | Kim, Si Woo | Morikawa, Collin | 2.10 47.6% | 49.2% | — | 3.3% | $74.29 | — | +$81.72 | 2.10 | +0.00% | won | +$81.72 | … | |
| M:72h | betonline | Kim, Michael | Cauley, Bud | 2.16 46.3% | 47.7% | — | 3.1% | $66.77 | — | +$77.45 | 2.12 | +1.89% | won | +$77.45 | … |